Issuing Amber #Warning for heavy - very heavy #MumbaiRains tomorrow Sep 8

Most of MMR region, specifically #Palghar #Vasai #Thane #Mumbai #Kalyan interiors likely to see triple digit rainfall tomorrow 120-170mm! Isolated 200 possible.

Most of this is likely during morning hrs causing some travel disruption and waterlogging in low lying areas. Plan your travel accordingly I may upgrade the alert tomorrow based on how this plays out. Stay updated

Latest forecasts indicate MJO to remain in our basin for next 2 weeks and with +IOD overpowering most of El Nino suppression, active #Monsoon2023 conditions until at least mid September over core zone. Moderate #MumbaiRains to begin as showers from tomorrow, turning heavy-very heavy on Fri and Sat with 3 digit downpours Entire #konkan coast needs to be on alert 8-10 Sep, especially #Surat to #Ratnagiri as factors align for triple digit rainfall event

Proper #MumbaiRains revival still around 5 days away. Closely watching upcoming #Monsoon2023 revival synopsis Below animation from IITM shows a pretty robust Monsoon Intra-Seasonal Oscillation moving N across core zone in Central India, aided by strong MJO, Rossby wave and +IOD. A very active 7-10 days of monsoon coming up for #Mumbai MMR and konkan from around 8-17 Sep, which could easily cover the September rainfall average. Typical triple digit rainfall likely during this period. Back to back LPAs in BoB will move right across CI, giving much needed heavy rains from #Odisha to #Gujarat